Seòmar agus comataidhean

Yes. It was at the University of Glasgow, and I believe that it is due to be displayed at the Parliament.

Cabinet secretary, you mentioned that prevention is critical to controlling overall cost pressures on the NHS, yet the NHS in Scotland has the lowest share of preventative spend of any Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development healthcare system. One way to address that is through the mental health challenge that this country faces.

In the 2021-22 programme for government, the Government committed to a mental health and wellbeing service for every GP practice and 1,000 new roles to support community mental health resilience. Despite health and social care partnerships planning for the roll-out of those services and the vital role that such community-based support provides in preventing mental health crises from reaching an acute situation, implementation has not yet started. Will you explain why that has not happened and why it has not been a bigger priority, given that it was in the programme for government?

The NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde chief executive cited the particularly shocking example of the institute of neurological sciences in Glasgow, where the maintenance backlog has come at a human cost, with 17 incidents of patient death or harm in the past five years. The board has also spent £3 million on private surgery for patients, so it is clear that there is a business case for accelerating or expediting investment in that particular infrastructure, given the cost already associated with the backlog in terms of patient deaths and the cost of private provision to make up the difference.

There are also structural issues to address. NHS Lothian has stated that the Royal infirmary of Edinburgh’s

“accident and emergency department was designed for a population of about 85,000”—[Official Report, Health, Social Care and Sport Committee, 6 June 2023; c 6.]

but it is actually seeing around “120,000 to 130,000” people coming through it, so the physical infrastructure is struggling to cope. Do you have a national risk register that you personally oversee to demonstrate where we need to prioritise capital investment, based on those metrics around patient safety and clear structural challenges? Is that something that is reported to you and on which you can take personal action?

I recognise your point that finance is tight, although you have a relatively privileged position, in that your area has the biggest expenditure by the Scottish Government, with a 6 per cent cash and 3 per cent real-terms increase in the projected budget for the next financial year.

We know that when we do not aggressively pursue opportunities for savings and prevention, we end up incurring costs somewhere else in the system. One area that we have identified in our discussions with chief executives is NHS 24, which has seen a 580 per cent increase in calls based on an annual rate of calls that are associated with mental health problems, and where dental health calls have also significantly increased, with 67,000 calls made in 2022-23 in comparison to just under 30,000 in 2019-20.

The pressures are visited elsewhere in the system, which seems unsustainable in view of those figures, which certainly shocked us when we heard them. Do you recognise that we need more investigation of where we can aggressively pursue opportunities for savings and push that prevention spend because costs will otherwise be incurred elsewhere?

[Inaudible.]—your 20 per cent increase. One of the other commitments is for the mental health share of health spend, which is currently around 8.8 per cent, to rise to 10 per cent. We are kind of stuck on 8.8 per cent at present because, effectively, we have just had a restoration of the cut due to the emergency budget review. What is the push ahead to that 10 per cent target? Will we get there? What is your view on how achievable that target is?

Are the boards moving quickly enough on those proposals to achieve cost avoidance? If you are going to expend on those capital programmes, will you avoid revenue expenditure? Are you pressing boards on the need to bring proposals forward more quickly?

I want to pick up on some of the maintenance backlog issues that we heard about from the chief executives. For example, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde cited backlogs at the Inverclyde royal and Royal Alexandra hospitals of £100 million and £80 million respectively. I understand that most boards will allocate their resource based on which outstanding issues for repair pose the highest risk to patient safety. However, is it sustainable for boards to take that more reactive approach to addressing such matters by doing so only once they become a serious patient safety issue instead of their having a much more robust, preventative maintenance programme? What does best practice look like, and how can we help health boards move to a more preventative approach instead of their simply reacting to issues that could cause deaths?

In the light of the reported difficulties in people accessing dentistry services and increasing numbers of NHS dentists removing themselves from NHS provision, have you noticed a structural change in access to dentistry since the pandemic? Would you consider further expansion of the urgent care pathway to help to meet the increase in the number of dental-related inquiries?

Thank you.

I thank Mr Miller for coming today. Information that was obtained by a freedom of information request shows that, in recent years, there has been an extreme increase in the number of dental calls to NHS 24. In 2018-19, there were 25,509 calls but, in 2022-23, there were 67,189 calls. Your submission explains that a new urgent care model that seeks to minimise onward referral is in place

“for all but dental and some pharmacy calls”.

How has NHS 24 adapted to manage that increase in demand with regard to calls about dental complaints?