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Good morning, colleagues. I warmly welcome everybody to the Scottish Commission for Public Audit's first meeting in 2009. It is a few months since the commission last met.
I hope so.
I invite Mr Black to make an opening statement.
I appreciate the opportunity briefly to update members on the latest position on some of the issues that might arise this morning. The papers that the commission has provide a snapshot—all the issues that the commission is concerned about keep developing.
Thank you for your useful update. Will you say a bit more about the six impact reports?
I ask Diane McGiffen to advise the commission on those reports.
In the past year, we have finalised a framework for assessing the impact of our work. Last summer, we consulted our clients and stakeholders on the framework, which we have since implemented and now use to plan for the impacts that we want our work to have and to record the impacts that our work actually has.
Thank you very much.
Obviously, one element of your work is consistent year on year while another varies routinely. We are in a severe economic downturn and, as we look ahead, we expect a squeeze on, and perhaps significant real-term reductions in, overall public spending in Scotland—that is a political point that I do not expect you to comment on. The downturn will change the environment in which the bodies that Audit Scotland audits operate. How will the new circumstances change—if at all—the work that Audit Scotland has to do as an organisation and how it approaches its functions?
There are two aspects to the matter. First, we need to demonstrate a commitment to efficiency savings within Audit Scotland. Perhaps we can talk more about that when we present our annual report and the forward look in the autumn. We are seriously considering issues in that area. As the commission might have gathered, we have built in a 2 per cent efficiency target to reduce our resource needs for the next year—we are applying that to our budget.
I understand your comments on the possible difficulties of quantifying some of the benefits that Audit Scotland brings. However, Audit Scotland's budget is top-sliced—although I admit that its budget is a very small slice compared with what is left—and the ability of auditing work to influence the effective use of the bit that is not top-sliced is crucial.
I very much agree with that, and we are thinking seriously about how we can continue to modify our programme to reflect some of those issues. That opens up quite an agenda for discussion, and we might not have the time to go into it today, but I certainly look forward to engaging with the Public Audit Committee on it in future.
I will follow up on what Derek Brownlee said with a specific instance. I have the advantage of being a member of the Public Audit Committee. Mr Black and his colleagues will remember that we discussed the use of medicines in the national health service last week. The expenditure is about £222 million a year—a huge amount of money—and two issues came up. One was about generic versus branded medicines; the other was about the pilot scheme in Ayrshire and Arran for dispensing special—what is it called?
It was about prescribing and dispensing medicines in hospitals.
By chance, I had a meeting with representatives of NHS Lothian on Friday. I raised the matter with them, and I went through both of the issues. That was a coincidence, but it occurred to me that it might be useful for Audit Scotland to have some process, once a report is produced, for holding meetings with each of the boards concerned, perhaps a few months later, and interrogating them about what they have done and followed up on. The answers that I got from NHS Lothian indicated that the board is doing that follow-up. More than 80 per cent—nearly 90 per cent—of the medicines that it uses are generic rather than branded, and the board has a similar system to that of NHS Ayrshire and Arran.
The short answer is yes, we are thinking about that. We are implementing some systems and procedures as we speak, which will take us a significant way in that direction.
Why am I not surprised that Lord Foulkes has raised the use of medicines? In a sense—I am not just saying this because I am sitting before the commission—the impact and the follow-through from some of our reports has increased immeasurably since we have been bringing them before the Public Audit Committee. It has raised their profile in a way that did not apply before.
I am encouraged by that. As you know, I am aware of the follow-up reports, but Barbara Hurst's point about the meetings with boards is new to me. The boards are very variable. NHS Lothian seems to be good—although perhaps I am biased—but our experience with Tayside NHS Board and the Western Isles NHS Board has not been quite so good in several areas. It would be useful if you could produce a note about how you follow up, not just in general or with health boards but individually and systematically with all public bodies. Mr Black said that you are considering that. I am not sure whether the convener agrees, but I think that it would be helpful to have a note about how that will work in practice.
Anything that illuminates practical examples of the follow-up work would be helpful. It would certainly be interesting to hear how your work applies to other organisations, and the specific example of the prescribing of medicines in the NHS is useful in illuminating that.
We are happy to assist the commission by providing information on that.
My question goes a little beyond the commission's remit and is stimulated by the thought about wider effects on public services. There will be several pressure points in the next few years. In my realm of justice, one issue will be the effectiveness of community service orders in reducing reoffending rates. By way of by-blow, I want to inquire whether Audit Scotland is considering that. Obviously, the details of the issue are more to do with local government than with central Government.
I ask Barbara Hurst to advise the commission on our work on justice.
I am happy to do so. We touched on community sentences in a review of the Scottish Prison Service, as those are the other side of the coin. Our system is that we have individuals who are responsible for monitoring particular policy areas and who make suggestions on what we should do. We are keeping a watching brief on community sentences. It is not currently in the programme but, if something blew up, we would respond—we try to build in enough flexibility to allow us to do that. We are keen to return to the matter because there is an issue about how partnerships function to make those sentences work in practice. The short answer is that we are not examining the issue at present, but it is on our radar.
I raise the issue against the background of the Criminal Justice and Licensing (Scotland) Bill and the replacement of short-term prison sentences. In a tight financial climate, the effectiveness of such orders will be crucial to our progress in that direction. I will leave that thought with you, without pressing you on it.
We have a study in the work programme on the summary justice and court system. We might be able to consider how to build into that study the issue that Robert Brown raises.
That would be helpful.
Russell Frith will be able to help you with the detailed numbers. Forgive me, but I make the obvious point that the figure that is before the commission is an indicative planning figure, because we have only now started the budget exercise for the 2010-11 year. It is a planning figure that we will adjust, although it gives the commission a general indication of the order of magnitude that we are heading towards.
On where we are for the previous financial year, I know that one of the commission's concerns is about the levels of underspend that we have had in the past few years. I can confirm what the Auditor General said about the trend being such that our outturn for the year ending March 2009 will be a lot closer to our budget for the year than it has been in past years. If we strip out the amounts that are carried through from one year to another and the pensions effects, the in-year underspend in 2007-08 was about £1.8 million. Our management accounts, which are still subject to audit at the moment, indicate that the equivalent figure for this year is likely to be about £800,000.
That is not quite what I was after. I sought to find, against the background of our role to scrutinise the whole of Audit Scotland's expenditure, what you think the gross expenditure figure for the forthcoming year is likely to be, whether the percentage changes in that are similar to, or bigger or smaller than, the bit that we have to fund and what the reasons for that might be.
The answer to that is yes: the gross and net figures are moving pretty much in line with one another.
Have you found any particular areas that show significant variance from the norm in terms of what you expect to spend next year? Are there areas that we should look at in that respect?
I guess that the big unknown is still what we have to provide for pension costs. However, there are perhaps other issues, which Russell Frith might want to mention.
The pensions figure is becoming a bit clearer. We now have the actuary's formal valuation as at 31 March 2008, which is the triennial valuation. Based on the actuary's recommendations, we think that our total pension costs will go up by about £130,000 for 2010-11 compared with 2009-10.
Do any other areas indicate major variations from past trends?
I do not think so.
Currently, there are reduced interest rates, which we flagged up to the commission in the letter with our provisional budget estimate, and there is uncertainty about the direction of travel for public sector pay rates and so on. We are working through the impact of the inflation that we experience, because it occurs in different costs. Energy costs and fuel costs have gone up, costs for some things have gone down, and some things have no effect whatsoever because we have long-term arrangements and so on. I would say that the uncertainty at the moment over the direction of travel for public sector pay would be a variance, as would income from interest.
In terms of trend, but not for the forthcoming year, is it expected that there will be a reduction in the number of public sector bodies to be audited if the Government's programme for that goes through, and that there will be a move to a more risk-based approach to audit? Will those factors have an effect on the level of your budget requirement—its ups or downs?
I will pass over to Russell Frith for that.
The effects of the change in the number of public bodies are relatively marginal for us because many of the bodies that have so far been abolished, merged or whatever did not have separate accounts prepared and audited. However, some bodies—Communities Scotland, the Fisheries Research Services and the Scottish Fisheries Protection Agency—have been merged back into the Scottish Government, so we would expect to see a marginal reduction in the total from that.
It is pretty marginal in the overall scheme of things, though.
Yes.
My final point is on the capital figure, which I think you indicated as £306,000. What are its elements?
Most of that is planned information technology spend. On variation, we have found that IT costs have not fallen. Because of the exchange rate, some IT costs are either the same or increasing, which is against what one might expect in the market. The capital expenditure is part of our on-going IT refurbishment programme and will peak and trough. The total is coming down and should get lower, but it will then increase again when we hit the need to replace major systems such as laptops and desktop computers.
It sounds like capital spend is less than it has been in the past two or three years.
It is. We expect that capital spend will be less again in the following year, but it will then start to climb back up as our assets need to be replaced.
If there are no other questions, let me ask finally about the correspondence-handling pilot. Has that been completed and evaluated?
The correspondence work is a significant burden on us. As I have mentioned on previous occasions, it is not uncommon that complex, high-profile and sensitive issues emerge from correspondence—in fact, we are currently dealing with one such issue that has been in the media—but I have an assurance from Audit Scotland that we will be able to accommodate the cost of correspondence handling within our existing resources. Therefore, there will be no bid for new resources in that regard.
Thank you for all the evidence on agenda item 1. I suppose that I should acknowledge that Audit Scotland's work programme is a matter for the Public Audit Committee, so let me stress that commission members do not wish to stray into that committee's remit. However, as George Foulkes highlighted, any examples of Audit Scotland's work that illuminate the broader issues that we raise in our budget scrutiny are useful. We are interested more in information that illuminates those issues, so I stress that we do not wish to encroach on the remit of another committee.
Let me ask a question that has just struck me. When we approve the budget for Audit Scotland, where does the budget for the Accounts Commission come in? Where is that considered?
Let me ask Russell Frith to explain.
As members will know, the Accounts Commission is a non-departmental public body that is appointed by ministers. There is no direct parliamentary funding of the Accounts Commission. Formally, the Accounts Commission has no accounts at all, as it has no income and expenditure. All of its costs are contained within Audit Scotland's figures, which is why Audit Scotland's gross budget includes, for example, the costs of the commissioners.
The money for the Accounts Commission is taken from the charges on local authorities that are levied by Audit Scotland on the Accounts Commission's behalf. The Accounts Commission determines what the indicative audit charge on every council should be, which includes an overhead element for the Accounts Commission's costs. Audit Scotland receives that instruction from the Accounts Commission, levies the charge and takes the income into the Audit Scotland budget. In running the business, we are as careful as we can be to apportion costs related to local government work to the fees that are taken from local authorities and to relate the costs for everything else to the fees that are taken from NHS bodies, further education colleges and one or two other large public bodies. Of course, we also have the net resource requirement.
In a perfect world, every penny of what the Accounts Commission spends would be recovered from the fees that are charged to local authorities, but sometimes things do not work perfectly. Potentially, the accounts that we approve could indirectly contribute to the work of the Accounts Commission, whether through support from people in senior management or whatever.
I imagine it will be open to members to try to influence the forthcoming public sector reform bill if they think that that is appropriate.